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Tondela Penafiel betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is that both teams will score at least one goal. While Tondela is expected to control most of the game, Penafiel has a squad capable of exploiting the defensive weaknesses of their opponents. It is worth noting that the "Both Teams to Score – Yes" market has been a winning bet in three of the last four encounters between these sides. Therefore, a lively match is anticipated, with goal-scoring opportunities emerging frequently.
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Preview
Tondela and Penafiel face at Estádio João Cardoso, in a match for the 20th round of the Segunda Liga. In the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 25‑08‑2024, these teams have tied (2‑2). The recent head‑to‑head record favours the away team, since they have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since Penafiel presents significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Tondela

The home team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 34 points won, after 8 wins, 10 draws and 1 loss. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Marítimo, by (0‑0). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Porto II, by (2‑2). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. For the league, Tondela won 18 points out of 27 possible points, after 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 9 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 8 of the last 9 for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 7 of their 19 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 2.

Tondela heads into this match after a 2-2 draw away to FC Porto B, extending their winless run in the competition to five games. The team's goals were scored by Bebeto and an own goal from Dinis. The home side is expected to set up in a 3-4-3 formation, with Maranhão, Costinha, and Roberto leading the attack. Despite being a team that often sits deep and defends in their own half, they can break forward with great ease on the counter-attack. João Afonso is unavailable for this match due to suspension.

Confirmed Lineup: Bernardo Caltabiano Parise Fontes, Ricardo Alves, João Afonso, Bebeto, Talocha, Costinha, Hélder Tavares, Pedro Henryque, Cícero, Xavier, Roberto.
Coach: L. Correia Pinto.

Analysis Penafiel

The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 37 points won, after 9 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against UD Oliveirense, by (2‑2). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Vizela, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 21 conceded. In the last 9 away league matches Penafiel has a record of 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 18 points out of 27 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 6 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times but have turned the score around in 3. In the last 12 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

Penafiel heads into this match after a 1-1 draw at home against Vizela, extending their unbeaten run in the competition to six games. The team's only goal was scored by Sodiq Fatai. Manager André Sousa is expected to set up his side in a 4-3-3 formation, with Reko, Gabriel Barbosa, and Sodiq Fatai leading the attack. Notably, Diogo Batista operates in a more free role, just behind the forwards. Tiago Rodrigues is unavailable for this match due to suspension.

Confirmed Lineup: Manuel Mama Samba Baldé, Rúben Pereira, Gonçalo Miguel Negrão Sousa, João Silva, João Miguel, Ewerton, A. Teixeira da Silva, Reko, Diogo José Branco Batista, Sodiq Olamilekan Fatai, Gabriel Barbosa.
Coach: F. Paula da Rocha.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Tondela vs Penafiel match, on 1 February 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Kenya, goes to: Both teams score? Yes ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Tondela vs Penafiel on 1 February 2025 will be played at Tondela, Estádio João Cardoso.

 

Segunda Liga - 2024/2025

  • 62% 189 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 38.62%
  • Draws 33.33%
  • Away team wins 28.04%
  • Over 1.5 74.07%
  • Over 2.5 46.56%
  • Over 3.5 21.69%
  • Goals 466
  • Goals /match 2.47
  • Goals /match home 1.26
  • Goals /match away 1.2
  • Both teams score 53.97%
  • Goals after 80' 17.17%
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