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Nacional Porto betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

FC Porto are once again strong favorites, even in this clash with Nacional. The momentum is good, they're a different team, although Nacional are better than they were a few days ago. Even so, the Dragons should secure a win, and it shouldn't just be a marginal one. FC Porto European handicap (-1).
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Preview
Warning: Match postponed! This preview was written for the original match date: 03.Jan.2025 21:00
Nacional and Porto face at Estádio da Madeira, in a match for the 17th round of the Primeira Liga. In 3 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 2 and tied 1. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 13‑07‑2024, and ended in a draw by (4‑1). The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 16th and 1st of the league table, it’s also a match between the 13th best team in home matches and the 4th best in away matches.

Analysis Nacional

After 3 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses, the home team is in the 16th position, havinf won 13 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Rio Ave by (2‑1), after in the previous match they have tied (2‑2) an away match against Vitória SC. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 3 points in away matches, with 5 goals scored and 12 conceded, against 10 points won at their stadium, with 6 goals scored and 11 conceded. For the league, Nacional won 10 points out of 21 possible points, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 7 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (4 out of 7 matches). They have conceded the first goal in 9 of their 16 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 8 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Nacional are now 13 points clear of the relegation places, as many as Farense, who are the first team in the relegation zone. Last time out, Nacional lost 2-1 at Rio Ave. With that defeat, they have now gone three consecutive games without a win. Now the task is very difficult as they host FC Porto.  Nacional haven't been very good so far against bigger clubs. They lost to Sporting (1-6), Benfica (0-2) and Sporting de Braga (0-3).

Confirmed Lineup: Lucas França, Gustavo García, Ulisses, José Manuel, José Vitor Lima Cardoso, Luís Esteves, Bruno Costa, M. dos Santos Dias, Djibril Soumaré, Dudu, Isaac Aguiar Tomich.
Coach: F. Nunes Cândido.

Analysis Porto

The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 40 points won, after 13 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Moreirense, by (0‑3). In the last match, they won in a home match against Boavista, by (4‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 13 points in away matches and 27 at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 2 conceded at home, against 15 goals scored and 7 conceded in away matches. In the last 7 away league matches Porto has a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 13 points out of 21 possible. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 3 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 25 of the last 29 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 13 of the last 16 matches for the Primeira Liga, they have reached half‑time in front in 9 of those 13 matches and have always held on to the lead until the end of the 90'.

The FC Porto team is clearly on the up and has won four games without conceding a goal. It's clearly one of the dragons' best moments this season. It's important to remember this good run for the blue and whites, which began with a 2-0 win over Midtjylland, then the same result against Estrela. They won 0-3 against Moreirense, and in the last match (4-0) against Boavista. Confidence levels are on the rise again, and the Dragons can't think of any other result than another win.

Confirmed Lineup: Diogo Costa, Nehuén Pérez, Martim Moreira Moutinho Fernandes, O. Ataide da Silva, Rodrigo Mora Carvalho, André Franco, Alan Varela, Stephen Eustáquio, Wenderson Galeno, Pepê, Samuel Omorodion Aghehowa.
Coach: S. Marceneiro Conceição.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Nacional vs Porto match, on 12 January 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Kenya, goes to: FC Porto European handicap (-1) ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Nacional vs Porto on 12 January 2025 will be played at Funchal, Estádio da Madeira.

 

Primeira Liga - 2024/2025

  • 55% 167 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 45.51%
  • Draws 26.95%
  • Away team wins 27.54%
  • Over 1.5 71.86%
  • Over 2.5 48.5%
  • Over 3.5 28.14%
  • Goals 433
  • Goals /match 2.59
  • Goals /match home 1.45
  • Goals /match away 1.14
  • Both teams score 45.51%
  • Goals after 80' 17.09%
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