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ADO Den Haag De Graafschap betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

In this match of the 12th round of the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, ADO and De Graafschap are both unbeaten, as the home team has won 2 games and drawn 4, while the away team has won 2 games and drawn 3 in their most recent records. A very balanced match is expected, but De Graafschap could make the difference with their attack, which is the second best in the league and, especially away from home, has the highest average of goals scored as a visitor. Taking this into account, we will bet on De Graafschap's Asian Handicap +0.5, equivalent to the double chance market, as the club has followed this line in its 4 most recent away performances and ADO at home has conceded a draw or victory to the visitors in 4 of the 6 matches played at its stadium.
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Preview
ADO and De Graafschap face at Cars Jeans Stadion, in a match for the 12th round of the Eerste Divisie. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 1 and tied 3. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Play‑offs 1/2, on 18‑05‑2024, they tied (2‑2). Alex Schalk (36' and 23' ) scored for ADO and Jeffry Fortes (74' ) and Ralf Seuntjens (67' ) for De Graafschap. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 10th and 4th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 4th best team in home matches and the 13th best in away matches.

Analysis ADO

After 3 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses, the home team is in the 10th position, havinf won 14 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Jong Ajax by (0‑0), after in the previous match they have won (3‑0) at home, against Roda JC Kerkrade. This is a team that usually plays better at home, where they have won 9 points, against only 5 points in away matches. For the league, ADO won 9 points out of 18 possible points, after 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 6 home matches.

They haven’t lost any of the last 6 matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 28 of the last 30 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals.

ADO needs a win to strengthen its fight for a spot in the playoffs. The team has 2 wins and 4 draws in its most recent records and, especially at home, managed to win 1 game after 2 consecutive draws. The main characteristic of the team is the excessive force in marking its opponents, as ADO is the most foul-prone team in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, alongside TOP Oss, with an average of 14 fouls committed per round. Bosnian coach Darije Kalezic will once again depend on the Medical Department to define his starting lineup, based on the 4-3-3 tactical scheme. Defender Milan Hokke has not played since the injury he suffered in the 9th round, played on 04-10-2024. As a result, Matteo Waem has now formed a duo with Diogo Tomas. The most recent concern is with left-back Sekou Sylla, from the Guinea national team, who was injured in ADO's last match. If he is ruled out by doctors, Ronny Boakye is likely to replace him again. The standout player in the squad is Kilian Nikièma, from the Burkina Faso national team, who holds the title of goalkeeper with the fewest goals conceded in the league (0.8 goals conceded per game). In the offensive system, the fans' great hope is Northern Irish striker Lee Bonis (the second best finisher in the championship with an average of 1.6 shots on goal per game).

Confirmed Lineup: Kilian Nikiema, Matteo Waem, Diogo Tomas, Steven van der Sloot, Jari Vlak, Juho Kilo, Alex Schalk, Lee Bonis, Daryl van Mieghem, Joel Ideho.
Coach: R. Brood.

Analysis De Graafschap

The away team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 19 points won, after 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Telstar, by (2‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Jong PSV, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 6 points in away matches and 13 at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 10 conceded at home, against 11 goals scored and 10 conceded in away matches. In the last 5 away league matches De Graafschap has a record of 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 6 points out of 15 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 4 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 16 of the last 22 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals.

De Graafschap is one of the best teams in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie so far and if they win this round they could even take 3rd place in the league table. The club has won 2 games and drawn 3 in the last 5 rounds, and in the last 4 away matches they managed to win 1 game in addition to the 3 most recent draws - curiously all of them by (2-2). De Graafschap has the second best attack in the league (27 goals scored in 11 rounds), but above all they have the best average of goals scored away from home (2.2 goals per away match) after scoring 11 goals in the 5 performances they have played as visitors. These numbers are a reflection of the position they occupy as the team that shoots the most on goal in the competition (an average of 6.4 shots on goal per round). Defensively, however, it is disturbing that the team has only kept a clean sheet in 1 of the 11 games they have played. Coach Jan Vreman continues to rely on the club's Medical Department to define his starting lineup, based on the 4-2-3-1 tactical scheme. Midfielder Stan Wevers has not played since the injury he suffered in the 3rd round, played on 23-08-2024. With that, Anass Najah has established himself among the starters and even become one of the team's leaders. In the last match, right-back and captain Jeffrey Fortes was injured in the first half. If he is ruled out by the doctors, the tendency is for Joran Hardeman to replace him again. Moroccan left winger Ibrahim El Kadiri is the standout player in the squad with 3 goals and 1 assist in 11 games played.

Confirmed Lineup: Joshua Smits, Rio Hillen, Rowan Besselink, Joran Hardeman, Levi Schoppema, Philip Brittijn, Lion Kaak, Jesse van de Haar, Ralf Seuntjens, Ibrahim El Kadiri, Tristan van Gilst.
Coach: R. Robbemond.

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NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the ADO vs De Graafschap match, on 25 October 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Kenya, goes to: Asian Handicap, De Graafschap +0.5 ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The ADO vs De Graafschap on 25 October 2024 will be played at Den Haag, Cars Jeans Stadion.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 32% 120 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 33.33%
  • Draws 29.17%
  • Away team wins 37.5%
  • Over 1.5 79.17%
  • Over 2.5 58.33%
  • Over 3.5 40.83%
  • Goals 356
  • Goals /match 2.97
  • Goals /match home 1.5
  • Goals /match away 1.47
  • Both teams score 56.67%
  • Goals after 80' 18.82%
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