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Fluminense Botafogo betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

As we can see, the home team (Fluminense) are favourites to win this derby. Fluminense are motivated by their win over Flamengo last time out and will be hoping for a fourth consecutive win in the Guanabara Cup to remain relentless in their quest for the lead. The visitors (Botafogo) are unbeaten and currently lead the championship, but have yet to have a game as difficult as this one against Fluminense, a Serie A side in the Brazilian national championship, to build on. Fluminense, for their part, have no doubt about their ability to do so, as, although they have already faced Flamengo, they have the strongest defence in the league. So, betting on the home team to win or a draw (double chance: draw or Fluminense win) is the best option for this match.
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Preview
Fluminense and Botafogo face at Estádio Nilton Santos, in a match for this stage of the Carioca 1 (Taça Guanabara). The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 9 head‑to‑heads they won 5, tied 2 and lost 2. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Serie A, on 25‑01‑2021, Fluminense won by (2‑0). Lucca (67' ) and W. Silva (90' ) scored the goals of the match for Fluminense. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Fluminense

The home team is currently in the 3rd position, with 9 points won, after 3 wins and 1 loss. In the penultimate round, they have won a home match against Audax Rio by (1‑0). In the last round, they have won an away match against Flamengo by (0‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 10 home matches Fluminense has won 7, tied 1 and lost 2. They have presented defensive consistency, since they have only suffered goals in 1 of the last 4 matches, and their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 3 of the last 4 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 7 of their 15 matches, and have only turned the score around in 1.

The home side come into this derby with Botafogo, valid for the fifth round of the Guanabara Cup, motivated by their win over reigning champions Flamengo in their last match. Fluminense started this season under a lot of suspicion due to changes in the squad and coaching staff. Experienced coach Abel Braga, who was hired for the fourth time to take charge of the team, was not very well accepted by the fans and the pressure intensified after the defeat against lowly Bangu in the first round of this Guanabara Cup. Victories in the following rounds, against Madureira and Audax Rio, both 1-0, were not enough to convince the fans that the coach was the best choice and Abel Braga was roundly booed at home. However, the 1-0 win in Rio de Janeiro's biggest derby, Fluminense's win over Flamengo, gives Abel Braga and his players more peace of mind. The team will be hoping for another positive result in the fifth round of the Guanabara Cup, albeit an away match against current unbeaten league leaders Botafogo.

Analysis Botafogo

The away team is currently in the 1st position, with 10 points won, after 3 wins and 1 draw. In the penultimate round, they have won a home match agaisnt Madureira by (4‑2). In the last round, they have won a home match against Nova Iguaçu by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 10 conceded; against 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss at their stadium, with 34 goals scored and 10 conceded. Their last away match for this competition ended in a draw by (1‑1) against Boavista. In the last 10 away matches Botafogo has won 4, tied 5 and lost 1. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 4 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 5 times but have turned the score around in 2.

The visitors go into their first derby this year motivated by the unbeaten run that guarantees them the top spot in the Guanabara Cup at the moment. After the draw with Boavista on matchday one, playing away from home, Botafogo have won three consecutive home games and, thanks to their goal difference, jumped to the top of the standings. However, it is worth noting the draw on the first matchday, when Botafogo played away from home, the same condition in which they will play this match against Fluminense, valid for the fifth matchday of the Guanabara Cup. It will also be Botafogo's first match against one of the other three big clubs in Rio de Janeiro, so it is still difficult to determine exactly what the team's intentions will be in this championship. Last year, Botafogo failed to win any of their three derbies (against Vasco, Fluminense and Botafogo) in the Guanabara Cup. Moreover, given Fluminense's form, the expectation is that, despite playing at home, Botafogo will struggle to pick up points in this Copa Guanabara Matchday 5 derby.
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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Fluminense vs Botafogo match, on 11 February 2022, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Kenya, goes to: Double chance, Fluminense or Draw ⇒ bet available on 1xbet.

The Fluminense vs Botafogo on 11 February 2022 will be played at Rio de Janeiro, Estádio Nilton Santos.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy Kenya, for the Fluminense Botafogo match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Fluminense at with 43% of the tips.

 

Carioca 1 - 2022

  • 100% 78 / 78 Games

  • Home team wins 44.87%
  • Draws 21.79%
  • Away team wins 33.33%
  • Over 1.5 62.82%
  • Over 2.5 43.59%
  • Over 3.5 23.08%
  • Goals 189
  • Goals /match 2.42
  • Goals /match home 1.38
  • Goals /match away 1.04
  • Both teams score 42.31%
  • Goals after 80' 23.28%
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